On the price of demand censoring in the newsvendor problem
نویسندگان
چکیده
We consider a repeated newsvendor problem where the decision-maker (DM) does not have access to the underlying distribution of discrete demand. We analyze three informational settings: i.) the DM observes realized demand in each period; ii.) the DM only observes realized sales ; and iii.) the DM observes realized sales but also a lost sales indicator that records whether demand was censored or not. We provide a characterization of the best achievable performance in each of these cases, where we measure performance in terms of regret: the worst case difference between the cumulative costs of any policy and the optimal cumulative costs with knowledge of the demand distribution. In particular, we show that for both the first and the third settings, the best achievable performance is bounded (i.e., does not scale with the number of periods) while in the second setting, it grows logarithmically with the number of periods. The results enable one to quantify the performance degradation stemming from demand censoring and identifies minimal information through the lost sales indicator that mitigates some of this degradation.
منابع مشابه
Optimal flexible capacity in newsboy problem under stochastic demand and lead-time
In this paper, we consider a newsvendor who is going to invest on dedicated or flexible capacity, our goal is to find the optimal investment policy to maximize total profit while the newsvendor faces uncertainty in lead time and demand simultaneously. As highlighted in literature, demand is stochastic, while lead time is constant. However, in reality lead time uncertainty decreases newsvendor's...
متن کاملThe Censored Newsvendor and the Optimal Acquisition of Information
This paper investigates the e ect of demand censoring on the optimal policy in newsvendor inventory models with general parametric demand distributions and unknown parameter values. We show that the newsvendor problem with observable lost sales reduces to a sequence of single-period problems while the newsvendor problem with unobservable lost sales requires a dynamic analysis. Using a Bayesian ...
متن کاملOn Implications of Demand Censoring in the Newsvendor Problem
W consider a repeated newsvendor problem in which the decision maker (DM) does not have access to the underlying demand distribution. The goal of this paper is to characterize the implications of demand censoring on performance. To that end, we compare the benchmark setting in which the DM has access to demand observations to a setting in which the DM may only rely on sales data. We measure per...
متن کاملObservation Bias: The Impact of Demand Censoring on Newsvendor Level and Adjustment Behavior
In an experimental newsvendor setting where 310 subjects make 50 repeated newsvendor decisions with the same known ex-ante parameters, we investigate three phenomena: Level behavior – the decision-maker’s average ordering tendency; adjustment behavior – the tendency to adjust period-to-period order quantities; and observation bias – the tendency to let the degree of demand feedback influence or...
متن کاملA data-driven, distribution-free, multivariate approach to the price-setting newsvendor problem
Many aspects of the classical price-setting newsvendor problem have been studied in the literature and most of the results pertain to the case where the price-demand relationship and demand distribution are explicitly provided. However, in practice, one needs to model and estimate these from historical sales data. Furthermore, many other drivers besides price must be included in the demand resp...
متن کامل